@article{Murray_2017, title={Predicting scientific research output at the University of KwaZulu-Natal}, volume={110}, url={https://sajs.co.za/article/view/3775}, DOI={10.1590/sajs.2014/20130321}, abstractNote={<div style="left: 288.189px; top: 208.54px; font-size: 15px; font-family: sans-serif; transform: scaleX(0.892142);">Academic members of staff at the University of KwaZulu-Natal (UKZN) are expected to publish in research</div> <div style="left: 288.189px; top: 228.54px; font-size: 15px; font-family: sans-serif; transform: scaleX(0.871775);">journals that have been accredited by the South African based Department of Higher Education and Training.</div> <div style="left: 288.189px; top: 248.54px; font-size: 15px; font-family: sans-serif; transform: scaleX(0.896214);">However, some members of staff have chosen to focus solely on the teaching aspect of their careers and</div> <div style="left: 288.189px; top: 268.54px; font-size: 15px; font-family: sans-serif; transform: scaleX(0.910936);">as a result they have no publication record. In this study, a set of per annum productivity unit counts was</div> <div style="left: 288.189px; top: 288.54px; font-size: 15px; font-family: sans-serif; transform: scaleX(0.857767);">calculated for every academic at UKZN. Because it is possible for a publishing academic to also record a zero</div> <div style="left: 288.189px; top: 308.54px; font-size: 15px; font-family: sans-serif; transform: scaleX(0.892932);">count for a given year, it is necessary to develop an appropriate methodology that can distinguish this zero</div> <div style="left: 288.189px; top: 328.54px; font-size: 15px; font-family: sans-serif; transform: scaleX(0.878018);">count from one that will always be recorded by a non-publishing academic. By fitting a zero-inflated Poisson</div> <div style="left: 288.189px; top: 348.54px; font-size: 15px; font-family: sans-serif; transform: scaleX(0.89573);">model to the data, specific factors can be identified that separately drive the non-publishing and publishing</div> <div style="left: 288.189px; top: 368.54px; font-size: 15px; font-family: sans-serif; transform: scaleX(0.907015);">processes at UKZN. In particular, having a PhD and working in a large school has a significant impact on</div> <div style="left: 288.189px; top: 388.54px; font-size: 15px; font-family: sans-serif; transform: scaleX(0.847281);">improving the research output of a publishing academic. If UKZN wants to become a research-focused</div> <div style="left: 288.189px; top: 408.54px; font-size: 15px; font-family: sans-serif; transform: scaleX(0.873283);">university, non-publishing academics should be encouraged to under take a PhD degree.</div>}, number={3/4}, journal={South African Journal of Science}, author={Murray, Mike}, year={2017}, month={Dec.}, pages={1–4} }